« Back to topics

Science and Technology

Closing

Jan 01, 2025 09:00PM UTC (1 year)

Forecasting new scientific and technological advancements and their impact on society and governance.

Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Featured Questions

Crowd Forecast

Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 98 · 560

14%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 86 · 254

1%

Chance

Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?

Closing Aug 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 111 · 229

8%

Chance

Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 119 · 169

7%

Chance

Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 87 · 381

70%

Chance

Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023?

Closing Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 50 · 212

97%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will a top U.S. chemical or oil and gas company join the BOTTLE consortium as an industry partner by 31 August 2023?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 53 · 232

2%

Chance

Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023?

Closing Jul 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC · 62 · 396

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 61 · 331

What percentage of the U.S.’s renewable energy consumption will come from biofuels in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 97 · 534