daddyxi
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
59%
Less than 5%
20%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 6%
21%
More than or equal to 6%
Why do you think you're right?

UK aviation industry has to start somewhere. But its plans look unrealistic. UK planning permission rules

https://www.imeche.org/news/news-article/biofuels-for-net-zero-aviation-could-require-half-of-uk-agricultural-land

UK government goals are much less ambitious 

https://www.biofuelsdigest.com/bdigest/2023/02/15/uk-government-commits-to-boost-saf-production/

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Why might you be wrong?

There is a Eureka moment in algae fuel tech driven by Essar but I doubt it.

https://www.qcintel.com/article/essar-plans-3-6bn-uk-indian-energy-transition-business-12062.html

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