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Following the question clarification, referring to this page , there are 7 publications up as of May 20. If the current rate continues, the Quantum AI lab will fall short of 20 publications. Scoured the team's social media profiles for inklings of upcoming publication to no luck.
Looking at the Google calendar of events, looks like they have an annual quantum conference in July so will keep an eye out for a possible spur of paper releases around that, though this is just conjecture. Dropping the link to the 2022 conference playlist for those interested! 
Scoured the team's social media profiles for inklings of upcoming publication to no luck.
Before doing that, did you first scour our comments below, where we have already located two recent (May) publications that have yet to be included in the list?
This question would resolve if both an emergency and a shutdown occur.
Earthquakes: Wikipedia (if anyone has better source, please link) mentions 16 earthquakes between 2012 and 2022. The ones is 2016 and 2022 were significant, causing injuries, loss of life and damage, but only the 2016 quake resulted in a shutdown.
Power outages: Power outages are common. One Nikkei article mentions 22 power outages in 2 months in 2022. In 2021, an outage resulted in a "brief dip", but reportedly no shutdowns at TSMC.
Cyber attacks: As the description mentions, in 2018, TSMC fabs were shut down due to a virus attack. The volume of cyber attacks on Taiwan, especially from China, have been on the rise. In 2022, there was a 10% increase in volume of cyberattacks.
I am also going with the crowd forecast on "Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?" of 1%.
Noting that TSMC has taken several measure to bolster the physical and cyber resilience of its facilities.
Starting at 3%.
Why do you think you're right?
Europe is going through tech company layoffs, amidst the economic slowdown caused by COVID plus war in Ukraine. Layoffs surged in November, Q4 layoffs were the highest within this year.
It's a cold winter.
Why might you be wrong?
The layoffs may not affect AI jobs.
Doing a post-mortem, it looks like the layoffs and slowdown were even worse than most of us expected.
Curious about Luxembourg though -- seems to be an exception in an otherwise gloomy AI jobs outlook in Europe.
Quantum computing resources are concentrated in two countries: US and China. Beyond this, there's a handful of facilities in the UK, Japan, India.
A few factors to consider:
1. Increasing volume of cyber attacks. Check Point Research reported a YoY increase of 38% in 2022. . Research and educational institutions were the most-targeted.
2. Geopolitics: US-China competition in quantum computing could lead to cyber-enabled IPR theft or other forms of cyber attack.
3. Cybersecurity compliance of quantum research facilities: I can't speak on this with much confidence, but my assumption is the nature of research necessitates strong cybersec protocols.
4. Secrecy: Relating to point 3, because quantum computing is so high-stakes, I wonder also if entities would be inclined to publicly report an incident.
Starting with a low non-zero forecast. While I see the pressures of points 1 and 2, I am not convinced we will see an incident reported this year.