59th
Accuracy Rank

coastbylight

About:
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-0.0

Relative Brier Score

22

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 21 22 222 22 293
Comments 4 4 16 0 16
Questions Forecasted 21 22 62 26 84
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 6 0 8
 Definitions
New Prediction
coastbylight
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
5% (-10%)
In 3Q 2022 or 4Q 2022
6% (-34%)
In 1Q 2023 or 2Q 2023
30% (+0%)
In 3Q 2023 or 4Q 2023
59% (+44%)
Not before 1Q 2024

They’ve been having record profits. There’s no need to mention algae soon

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New Prediction
coastbylight
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
40% (+10%)
Less than 5
50% (+0%)
Between 5 and 11, inclusive
10% (-10%)
Between 12 and 17, inclusive
0% (+0%)
More than or equal to 18

States take a long time to pass legislation. There will eventually be many more than 5

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New Prediction

There’s no way, not while they’re still supplying Ukraine with weapons

Files
New Prediction
coastbylight
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
100%
Japan
100%
The Netherlands
25%
South Korea
0%
Any other country not listed

US pressure

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Putin holds all the levers to power still even with shifting power underneath him with Prigozhin and others. 

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Why might you be wrong?

If Putin loses Crimea in Feb, there’s a chance of change, but not by march

Files
New Prediction

I couldn’t keep holding out. As much as I believe the energy revolution is here to stay, I can’t say I’m as optimistic about plastics

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New Prediction

The government is cracking down on gang activity

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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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