Confirmed previous forecast
0.791
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 50 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 19 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(+0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
71%
(+0%)
Yes
People thoughts about the Topic,
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(+0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
71%
(+0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
Yes
The current probability is very low, there are many physical limitations.
Files
We are in the mid of the year, and there is no publication yet in 2023.