Confirmed previous forecast
0.17549
Relative Brier Score
89
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 33 | 289 | 89 | 610 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 59 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 33 | 61 | 38 | 126 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
17%
(0%)
Yes
83%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024
100%
(0%)
No
Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024
100%
(0%)
No
Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Kuwait
1%
(0%)
Oman
1%
(0%)
Qatar
2%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
1%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
21%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
8%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Power Forecaster - Mar 2024
Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024
99%
No
Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024
Given the current global mood as regards the Israel-Palestine war, most Muslim countries will not agree to sign any more diplomatic treaties with Israel anytime soon.
Files