Confirmed previous forecast
-0.164531
Relative Brier Score
7
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 80 | 7 | 200 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 64 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 36 | 4 | 84 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 42 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Mar 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(+29%)
Yes
Putin wins Russia election in landslide with no serious competition (@https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-presidential-vote-starts-final-day-with-accusations-kyiv-sabotage-2024-03-17/).
Vladimir Putin was always going to claim his fifth term as president with a landslide, faced with three other candidates all rubber-stamped by the Kremlin (@https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68592781).
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
15%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-10%)
Yes
There aren't any sign for that.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
0%
(0%)
Qatar
15%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
71%
Yes
Putin announces he will run in 2024 presidential election (@https://tass.com/politics/1718041?utm_source=google.com&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=google.com&utm_referrer=google.com).
If there is Putin, there is Russia; if there is no Putin, there is no Russia,” the current speaker of the State Duma, the aggressive loyalist Vyacheslav Volodin, pronounced, back in 2014. He was outlining an ideal autocracy, one in which the country would be equated with its ruler and vice versa (@https://www.foreignaffairs.com/eastern-europe-and-former-soviet-union/putins-war-party).
Files
My personal perspective doesn't matter and that should not be for forecasting. And I believe it applies to every forecaster.
Since this is my first forecast on this topic, I will update it based on future events with more data and references.
Files
Misread the question. Correcting forecast.