Raan_Mend

About:

I am a 20yrs+ experiences Chemical Engineer and MBA, worked in Food Industry, Wallboard Manufacture and Lead Recycling Industry. Freelance Contractor in renewable energy (Solar Energy) and Energy Saving (thermal insulation).

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2024 Season Stats

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Relative Brier Score

15

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 5 67 15 269
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 5 13 5 58
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 3
 Definitions
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Raan_Mend made their 10th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than or equal to 749
0% (0%)
Between 750 and 1499, inclusive
70% (0%)
Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive
30% (0%)
Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 3000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?
Raan_Mend made their 10th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100% (0%)
Less than or equal to 499
0% (0%)
Between 500 and 999, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 2000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Raan_Mend made their 10th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
30% (0%)
Less than or equal to 49
51% (0%)
Between 50 and 99, inclusive
19% (0%)
Between 100 and 149, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 150 and 199, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 200
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Raan_Mend earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Raan_Mend made their 9th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than or equal to 749
0% (0%)
Between 750 and 1499, inclusive
70% (0%)
Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive
30% (0%)
Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 3000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?
Raan_Mend made their 9th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100% (0%)
Less than or equal to 499
0% (0%)
Between 500 and 999, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 2000
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Raan_Mend made their 9th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
30% (0%)
Less than or equal to 49
51% (0%)
Between 50 and 99, inclusive
19% (0%)
Between 100 and 149, inclusive
0% (0%)
Between 150 and 199, inclusive
0% (0%)
More than or equal to 200
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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