Reducing slightly. Before I dig deeper into the WayBack Machine it is hard to evaluate how likely are new additions from the previous year, and what is the real cause behind these additions (I wrote about some possibilities I came up with, below).
I still wonder why they added the one from 2015 this year - they already have potentially habitable exoplanets from all years since 2013 in the catalog, and we have 8 from 2015 (5.1% of all 875 exoplanets discovered that year), while we also have 8 for 2014 - only 0.9% from all 875 exoplanets discovered that year. 2016 also has a low share of habitable worlds in comparison to 2015 - only 11 from 1517 (0.7%). I wonder what is the cause behind these differences. I still need to understand the process of evaluating habitability of the exoplanet better - maybe for some methods we don't have enough data to judge if the planet is potentially habitable if other observations are not made? Maybe some new information about K2-3 d changed the previous assessment of its habitability? Last update in P_UPDATE column for this exoplanet is from 10.07.2023, so that would make sense. I must read more about this exoplanet.
Also do they have three values: 1) potentially habitable, 2) not habitable, and 3) not known/not enough data? Or maybe the research team behind the catalog is still evaluating some of the exoplanets found in the past? My intuition tells me that this is more likely because of new data, like about new information about the water world ("LHS 1140 b is a potentially habitable water world").
Also, I wonder about the candidates awaiting confirmation - if confirmed, would they be assigned as a year of being discovered to the year of first spotting (when they become candidates) or the year of confirmation? There is so much I do still not know about all this.
Tagging @Tolga @martinsluis @belikewater @404_NOT_FOUND @ctsats @cmeinel @probahilliby @PeterStamp @ScottEastman @NoUsernameSelected @DimaKlenchin @WeirdAwkward @guyrecord @Perspectus @JJMLP
I am updating slightly based on the reply which @ctsats got from the head of the HWC, Prof. Abel Méndez (https://twitter.com/ProfAbelMendez) (Impresive work Christos! Thank you for sharing!) Especially professor's guess of the number of planets added this year (as 5 to 10). We must however note that if my previous analysis is right (see my previous forecasts here) 7 exoplanets were added to the catalog this year (6 from 2023 and one from 2015), as I explained here, professor likely counted some of them as if they were added the previous year - otherwise he would say 7 to 10, right? So it is hard to interpret how many (if any) he already counted for this year, and our period of analysis is different, it doesn't include January this year, but in fact includes January 2025 (despite 31st of December 2024 being mentioned in the question title). Still, we have a full-year period that way and unless this high assessment from the professor if heavily based on the planets already added to the catalog this year before the question was published and not counting towards the resolution, this assessment is still useful information.