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| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(-45%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
It seems there is a trend of dwindling fatalities in El Salvador as of late.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Hard to tell what will happen in future, especially in an uncertain country like El Salvador.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Less than 5%
47%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 7%
18%
More than or equal to 7%
Why do you think you're right?
I am not knowledgable enough on this topic to have a strong opinion
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I am not knowledgable enough on this topic to have a strong opinion
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
57%
Less than 7%
33%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 10%
10%
More than or equal to 10%
Why do you think you're right?
I am not knowledgable enough on this topic to have a strong opinion
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I am not knowledgable enough on this topic to have a strong opinion
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
I do not think this will happen in 2022, but it would not surprise me if it did which explains my rationale of 40%
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I am not sure
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Less than 40%
36%
More than or equal to 40% but less than 50%
28%
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%
6%
More than or equal to 60%
Why do you think you're right?
Really not sure, don't know a lot on this topic to predict proportional figures of global AI patents without having some doubt/skepticism
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Really not sure, don't know a lot on this topic to predict proportional figures of global AI patents without having some doubt/skepticism
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Unsure, wild guess
Why might you be wrong?
Unsure, wild guess, likelihood I am wrong.