Investigate more about the "chip war" phenomenon
0.315648
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
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Active Forecaster
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?
Active Forecaster
Quoting the Democratic Senator Tim Kaine said "It's imperative that the administration respond to these actions while demonstrating it is both a strategy for deterring aggression and appropriate legal doctrine," said Young. "To date, I have not seen such a strategy put forward." This makes the Red Sea area unsafe https://www.reuters.com/world/us/senior-us-senators-want-congress-authorize-strikes-against-houthis-2024-02-27/
Active Forecaster
Tensions between the United States and China are relatively calm, no more countries have joined in to ban China from the microcircuit market
Active Forecaster
Why do you think you're right?
The possible cuts by OPEC to maintain the price will not be able to take the price of a barrel above 100 dollars.
The strong pressure on oil production by the US will keep the price of a barrel below 100 dollars
Why might you be wrong?
A high impact armed conflict
The war against Hamas continues to be very costly economically speaking, which leaves very little room for more confrontations.