Confirmed previous forecast
-0.070129
Relative Brier Score
87
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 12 | 25 | 328 | 87 | 491 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 26 |
Questions Forecasted | 12 | 25 | 85 | 40 | 114 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
Definitions |
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 28, 2024 to Sep 28, 2024
97%
(0%)
No
Mar 28, 2024 to Sep 28, 2024
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
75%
(0%)
Less than $90
25%
(0%)
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to $120
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 28, 2024 to Mar 28, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Mar 28, 2024 to Mar 28, 2025
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
70%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2024
30%
(0%)
No
Mar 28, 2024 to Apr 28, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Mar 28, 2024 to Sep 28, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
8%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files