Governments around the world are rapidly stepping up efforts to gain dominance and unlock AI’s disruptive potential. INFER recently launched a new forecasting topic, International Competitiveness in AI. It includes questions that we identified as directional signals for assessing the broader, strategic question: Which countries will lead AI developments in research, technology, and human capital in the coming decade? We will launch more questions within this topic area in the following weeks. See the announcement of this topic here, and submit your own forecasts below:
How many EU countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 100,000 in 2022? INFER predicts a 54% chance that 6-7 countries will achieve this rate.
Uttering the prophesies
Congratulations to @cassandra for being the current leader in the 2022 season! (We had several questions resolve this month, so check out how you rank...)
Top forecaster and commenter
With 121 forecasts and 116 comments in May, @sebawi was our most prolific forecaster and commenter!
Be on the lookout for #FlashCastThursdays
INFER has released a new forecasting challenge. On randomly selected Thursdays, we will run a "FlashCast Thursday," which will be announced on Twitter the day prior. If you make a forecast during the day of a FlashCast Thursday, you'll be entered into a reward drawing worth up to $500! Learn more.
Dear Fern: I'm not an expert
In a brand new series, forecasting ally Fern is here to answer your questions about being the best forecaster you can be. This month: "Can I forecast on a topic where I'm not an expert?"
Earlier this month, we hosted our first Fireside Chat, Reasserting U.S. Leadership in Microelectronics, featuring MIT professor and a leading researcher in electrical engineering, Jesus A. del Alamo. You can catch the recording at this link.
Profile page update and other releases
Did you notice the profile page got a makeover this month? You can now keep track of all the latest platform releases from Updates in the top nav.