From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?

Started Apr 21, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC

Economic and political crises in Lebanon have led to an increase in anti-government protests and riots in recent years (CBS News). Additionally, rising food prices have led to riots among citizens as arguments over food and other necessities turned violent (Reuters).  

This question will be resolved using the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) project’s dashboard. To count the number of protest and riot events in Lebanon for a given time period: 
  • Adjust the “Event Date” filter to the relevant dates. 
  • Select “Riots” and “Protests” from the event type filter. 
  • Select “Lebanon” from the Region filter. 
  • Click “Apply Filters”.
  • Ensure the dropdown box located on the upper right side of the line graph displays “Event Count”. 
Additional Reading:  

Question clarification
Issued on 01/20/23 02:44pm
"April 2022 through March 2023" includes the entire months of April 2022 and March 2023. The ACLED query used to resolve this question will use a "Start Date" of 01/04/2022 and an "End Date" of 31/03/2023.
Resolution Notes

The highest number of protests and riots recorded in a single month was 146 in January 2023.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 200 99%
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400 1%
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600 0%
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800 0%
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000 0%
More than or equal to 1000 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions older than 6 months: 58
Number of Forecasts 302
Average for questions older than 6 months: 179
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

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