Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?

Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Question will be resolved using Scopus data from the OECD AI Policy Observatory’s data on AI research. The link will take you to the “AI scientific publications time series by country, from Scopus” page. Set the following parameters for the data:  
  • Indicator: Citations 
  • Quality Rankings: High Impact FWCI>1.5 
  • Publication Type: All 
See here for more information about the OECD’s methodology and the SCOPUS data. Question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and resolved when the OECD database is updated with data. Question will be resolved in the first week of April 2023 to account for any lags in reporting.   

New to AI? Check out our blog post on AI competitiveness for a list of resources to jumpstart your research. To learn more about the OECD data and how it's used by policy makers, check out this video
Resolution Notes

The EU had the second most high impact citations.

42% of high-impact citations came from China, 20% came from the EU, and 19% came from the US.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
China 2%
EU 59%
United States 31%
India 7%
Other 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 45
Average for questions older than 6 months: 58
Number of Forecasts 194
Average for questions older than 6 months: 204
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.236
2.
-0.214
3.
-0.185
4.
-0.162
5.
-0.135

Consensus Trend

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