How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?

Started Jun 23, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Seasons

Amidst fears of a recession, rising interest rates, and a declining stock market, May 2022 saw the number of tech startup layoffs rise to levels not seen since May 2020, according to layoffs.fyi (Quartz, TechCrunch, Fortune). Layoffs.fyi is a crowdsourced data aggregator tracking tech startup layoffs since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus far, layoffs.fyi has recorded the following numbers of "New Layoff Events" in 2022:
  • Jan: 4
  • Feb: 9
  • Mar: 17
  • Apr: 26
  • May: 75
  • June: 118 (in progress)
This question will resolve on 1 August 2022 at 9:00 AM EDT using the total number of new layoff events in the month of July on layoffs.fyi. The list of layoff events in July can be seen on the "Companies w/ Layoffs" tab: 
  • Select the "filter" button
  • Click "+ Add condition" and set the following: "Date" "is on or after" "exact date" "7/1/2022"
  • Click "+ Add condition" and set the following: "Date" "is on or before" "exact date" "7/31/2022"
  • Ensure that the "Exclude public companies" box is unchecked
  • The number of layoffs is the number of unique records listed at the bottom of the "Company" column.  
Historical numbers of layoff events in each month can be seen by selecting the "Layoff Charts" tab and hovering your cursor over the relevant blue bar in the chart "New startup layoffs since COVID-19 (by month)". 
Resolution Notes

Layoffs.fyi recorded the 100th July layoff on 21 July 2022.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than or equal to 74 0%
Between 75 and 99, inclusive 2%
More than or equal to 100 97%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 81
Average for questions older than 6 months: 58
Number of Forecasts 169
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.067885
2.
-0.06136
3.
-0.059225
4.
-0.05596
5.
-0.050525

Consensus Trend

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username