Will Kosovo and Serbia sign an EU-backed proposal aimed at normalizing diplomatic relations by 30 June 2023?

Started Apr 14, 2023 08:30PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC

The European Union has been working to facilitate the normalization of relations between Kosovo and Serbia for more than a decade (SWP). In February of 2023, the EU-proposed an Agreement on the Path to Normalisation between Kosovo and Serbia and in March announced that the two sides had agreed to its provisions (AP, ECFR). However, the agreement has yet to be signed, and both sides have indicated that there are still issues to resolve (Reuters, RFERL).  


Signing of the current Agreement on the path to normalisation between Kosovo and Serbia or another EU-backed normalization agreement on or before 30 June 2023 will count.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.17%
No 99.83%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 54
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 162
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.012838
3.
-0.012564
4.
-0.011862
5.
-0.00859

Consensus Trend

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