Started May 29, 2020 07:45PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Context. Job postings reflect the priorities and expectations of employers. They provide hints about future research and development.

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Burning Glass Technologies (2020). The date of a job posting is the date Burning Glass retrieves the data. The question resolves when CSET receives Burning Glass data through September 30, 2020.

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Resolution Notes

The answer is 39,364 job postings.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 20,000 7%
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive 34%
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 38%
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 14%
More than 65,000 7%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 88
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.094
2.
-0.073
3.
-0.068
4.
-0.066
5.
-0.058

Consensus Trend

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