Started Jul 01, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC

Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?

Context. On June 29, India announced that 59 Chinese origin applications will be blocked, citing “activities… prejudicial to sovereignty and integrity of India, defence of India, security of state and public order.” Among the applications included in the ban is the popular video sharing service TikTok, produced by the Chinese company ByteDance. India is ByteDance’s second largest market after China, with over 120 million active users (Business of Apps). The Indian government previously blocked access to TikTok for two weeks in April 2019 (CNN).


Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on official announcements from the Indian government.


***

To suggest a change or clarification to this question, please select Request Clarification from the green gear-shaped dropdown button to the right of the question.

Resolution Notes

India has given Tik Tok three weeks (until July 22) to respond to a long list of questions. If it does not respond by then, India says the ban will be permanent.

https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/tiktok-banned-chinese-apps-permanent-ban-govt-notice-questionnaire-1699147-2020-07-10#:~:text=If%20they%20don't%20respond,on%20them%20would%20become%20permanent.&text=Trouble%20is%20mounting%20for%20the,Indian%20government%20over%20privacy%20issues.&text=Any%20discrepancy%20can%20lead%20to,privy%20to%20the%20development%20said.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 90.36%
No 9.64%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 112
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 149
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.021
2.
-0.019
3.
-0.019
4.
-0.019
5.
-0.019

Consensus Trend

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username