Started Aug 17, 2020 02:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC

What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?

Context. COVID-19 is reshaping the global economy by leading to an increase in jobs that can be performed remotely. A remote tech industry would have different properties than a non-remote tech industry. Most significantly, location would be a less of a constraint on where people work and who companies hire. 

For more on this metric, see the accompanying metric analysis: "Tech Jobs Are Going Remote; UK Leads the Way."

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Burning Glass data available as of October 2, 2020. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Resolution Notes

This question was initially incorrectly resolved. We initially reported that the correct answer was 11.6%. In fact, the correct answer was 8.4%. We are re-scoring the question based on the correct answer.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3% 1%
Between 3% and 5%, inclusive 3%
More than 5% but less than or equal to 7% 15%
More than 7% but less than or equal to 9% 25%
More than 9% 57%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 89
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.091
3.
-0.089
4.
-0.087
5.
-0.072

Consensus Trend

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