Started Oct 02, 2020 01:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Related question. This question was previously issued for 2020 Q3. You can view those forecasts here.

Context. Job postings reflect the priorities and expectations of employers. They provide hints about future research and development.

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Burning Glass Technologies. The date of a job posting is the date Burning Glass retrieves the data. The question resolves when CSET receives Burning Glass data through March 31, 2021.

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

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Question clarification
Issued on 10/20/20 07:37pm
2020-Q3 results are now included in the graph. There were 39,364 postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills in 2020-Q3.
Resolution Notes

The answer is 60,006.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 30,000 7%
Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive 17%
More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000 38%
More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000 27%
More than 54,000 11%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 85
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.547
3.
-0.483
4.
-0.392
5.
-0.376

Consensus Trend

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