What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Started Oct 28, 2020 05:20PM UTC
Closed Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC

Related questions. This question was previously conditioned on Vice President Biden's election. Now that Vice President has been elected, we dropped the condition. We also closed the sister question conditional on President Trump's re-election. You can view it here. We previously asked a non-conditional version of this question regarding the 2021 pew survey. You can view it here

Context. The percentage of U.S. residents with unfavorable views of China has increased steeply in response to concerns over the trade war, China’s growing military, and lack of faith in President Xi Jinping. According to a 2018 survey by the Pew Research Center, 47 percent of U.S. residents had an unfavorable view of China. That number has since risen steadily, reaching 66 percent in a March 2020 survey and 73 percent in a June-July 2020 survey.

Data and resolution details. Pew conducts its U.S. Global Attitudes Survey at irregular intervals. Since 2014, it's conducted the survey annually between February and June. In 2020, it conducted two surveys, one in March and a second in June-July. This question resolves based on the results of a Pew U.S. Global Attitudes Survey that begins sometime between February 1 and June 30, 2022. If no survey begins during that period, this question will not be scored. You can read more about Pew's sampling methodology here.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 59% 11%
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive 15%
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% 27%
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% 32%
More than 80% 15%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 220
Average for questions older than 6 months: 56
Number of Forecasts 584
Average for questions older than 6 months: 168
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Consensus Trend

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