INFER Public

Crowd Forecast

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive?

Closing Nov 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 171 · 505

6%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 81 · 463

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 103 · 523

1%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 76 · 532