sepeskoe
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Dec 6, 2023 05:28PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
Yes
Nov 6, 2023 to May 6, 2024
50%
No
Nov 6, 2023 to May 6, 2024

If the Hamas/Israel war is ended, somehow peacefully, within the next few months, then there is time for the Saudi/Israeli agreement to proceed.  Otherwise, the Arab nation can't politically have direct talks with Israel.  Saudis have to think that the Palestinians and Gazans in particular are on an acceptable path to peace.

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