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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
14
·
14
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
12
·
13
2%
Chance
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
43
·
86
Will a moon mission land safely on the moon between 1 September 2023 and 31 May 2024, inclusive?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
49
·
89
86%
Chance
Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
48
·
70
10%
Chance
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
56
·
95
5%
Chance
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Closing
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
41
·
81
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
53
·
110
6%
Chance
Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
33
·
59
3%
Chance
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
46
·
106
1
2
3
4
5
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