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From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset attribute 500 or more fatalities to the Iran - Israel conflict?

6%

Chance
7 Forecasters • 7 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2022 08:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC

From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1,000 or more fatalities from conflict or political violence in Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank?

2%

Chance
15 Forecasters • 15 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2022 08:30PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC

Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?

11%

Chance
12 Forecasters • 12 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2022 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?

23%

Chance
12 Forecasters • 12 Forecasts
Started Aug 04, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2022 04:59AM UTC

From 1 August 2022 and 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 100 or more protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil?

76%

Chance
16 Forecasters • 18 Forecasts
Started Aug 04, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC

Will the Brothers of Italy Party (FdI) win the most seats in the 2022 Italian general election?

58%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 42 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 25, 2022 03:59AM UTC

What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?

21 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
A coalition government is formed and Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister
13%
A coalition government is formed and Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister
69%
A coalition government is formed but neither Lapid nor Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister
3%
A coalition government is not formed
15%

Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?

72%

Chance
41 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 02, 2022 03:59AM UTC

How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?

13 Forecasters • 17 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2022 05:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than or equal to 4
25%
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
62%
More than or equal to 10
14%

Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023?

30 Forecasters • 46 Forecasts
Started Jul 14, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Intel Corporation
22%
IBM Corporation
21%
BrainChip Holdings Ltd.
14%
Qualcomm Technologies, Inc.
9%
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