INFER Public

Crowd Forecast

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 69 · 290

Will a moon mission land safely on the moon between 1 September 2023 and 31 May 2024, inclusive?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 91 · 283

87%

Chance

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 52 · 267

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 33 · 172

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 30 · 162

Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 52 · 234

2%

Chance

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 5,000 fatalities from battles and remote violence between Azerbaijani and Armenian security forces?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 53 · 406

0%

Chance

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 200 or more fatalities from battles and remote violence involving Kyrgyz and Tajik security forces?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 37 · 269

0%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 87 · 646

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 112 · 731

0%

Chance