INFER Public

Question

Crowd Forecast

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 27 · 27

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 17 · 18

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 51 · 62

17%

Chance

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 15 · 17

Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 25 · 27

10%

Chance

What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?

Closing Dec 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC · 48 · 71

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 91 · 120

8%

Chance

Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?

Closing Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 46 · 78

5%

Chance

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 95 · 178

0%

Chance

For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 22 · 44

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From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

17%

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?

Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?

10%

What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

8%

Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?

5%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

0%

For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?

Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Topics

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17%

10%

8%

5%

0%