INFER Public

Crowd Forecast

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 91 · 120

8%

Chance

Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 98 · 560

14%

Chance

Will the value of 1 US Dollar equal or exceed 800,000 Iranian Rial on the open market (or 80,000 Toman, as reported on Bonbast) before 1 September 2023?

Closing Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 28 · 50

7%

Chance

Will the Pheu Thai Party be part of a governing coalition in Thailand after the next election and before 1 Jan 2024?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 40 · 91

95%

Chance

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 95 · 178

0%

Chance

Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president by 31 December 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 40 · 85

60%

Chance

Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 29 · 65

21%

Chance

Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023?

Closing Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 45 · 121

4%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 86 · 254

1%

Chance

Will Sweden become a full member of NATO before the NATO Summit in July 2023?

Closing Jul 11, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 83 · 210

21%

Chance