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Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

94%

Chance
262 Forecasters • 1504 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 02:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating reported by the Levada Center drop below 50% in the next month?

2%

Chance
126 Forecasters • 578 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Forecast Window 1 month

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

9%

Chance
200 Forecasters • 714 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

13%

Chance
44 Forecasters • 129 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC

Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

47%

Chance
2 Forecasters • 2 Forecasts
Started Sep 29, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC

Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?

4%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2022 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?

11%

Chance
36 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Sep 08, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

20%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 515 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?

84%

Chance
82 Forecasters • 147 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 02, 2022 03:59AM UTC

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

59%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 551 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
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