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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter enable digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) on photos or videos in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
146
·
558
6%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
202
·
981
4%
Chance
Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
117
·
1020
2%
Chance
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
78
·
249
7%
Chance
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
68
·
316
4%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
134
·
749
0%
Chance
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
149
·
503
9%
Chance
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president by 31 December 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
63
·
402
2%
Chance
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
29
·
47
25%
Chance
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
52
·
400
1%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
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