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Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

94%

Chance
262 Forecasters • 1504 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2021 02:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

9%

Chance
200 Forecasters • 714 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating reported by the Levada Center drop below 50% in the next month?

2%

Chance
126 Forecasters • 578 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Forecast Window 1 month

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

59%

Chance
74 Forecasters • 551 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

20%

Chance
77 Forecasters • 515 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?

80 Forecasters • 507 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $5 billion
2%
More than $5 billion but less than or equal to $6 billion
14%
Between $6 billion and $7 billion, inclusive
44%
Between $7 billion and $8 billion, inclusive
29%
More than $8 billion
10%

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?

64 Forecasters • 496 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $320 billion
1%
More than $320 billion but less than or equal to $350 billion
4%
Between $350 billion and $380 billion, inclusive
24%
Between $380 billion and $410 billion, inclusive
37%
More than $410 billion
34%

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?

66 Forecasters • 474 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $8.5 billion
6%
More than $8.5 billion but less than or equal to $10 billion
28%
Between $10 billion and $11.5 billion, inclusive
36%
Between $11.5 billion and $13 billion, inclusive
20%
More than $13 billion
10%

Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

88%

Chance
69 Forecasters • 473 Forecasts
Started Mar 18, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?

59 Forecasters • 452 Forecasts
Started Apr 20, 2021 12:20PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $25 billion
1%
More than $25 billion but less than or equal to $35 billion
19%
Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive
46%
Between $45 billion and $55 billion, inclusive
28%
More than $55 billion
7%
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