INFER Public

Question

Crowd Forecast

Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 117 · 1020

2%

Chance

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Closing May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 202 · 981

4%

Chance

Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 167 · 868

3%

Chance

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 134 · 749

0%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 112 · 731

0%

Chance

Will Israel and Sudan sign an agreement normalizing diplomatic relations by 31 December 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 100 · 713

2%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 80 · 681

Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

Closing Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 195 · 657

46%

Chance

Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 83 · 655

0%

Chance

In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment

What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 87 · 646

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Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?

2%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

4%

Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?

3%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

0%

Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?

0%

Will Israel and Sudan sign an agreement normalizing diplomatic relations by 31 December 2023?

2%

When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report?

Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

46%

Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023?

0%

What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?

Status

Type

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Topics

Tags

2%

4%

3%

0%

0%

2%

46%

0%