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Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?

4%

Chance
29 Forecasters • 51 Forecasts
Started Aug 11, 2022 08:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?

23%

Chance
21 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Aug 04, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2022 04:59AM UTC

How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?

20 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2022 05:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than or equal to 4
34%
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
55%
More than or equal to 10
11%

Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023?

35 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Jul 14, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Intel Corporation
20%
IBM Corporation
24%
BrainChip Holdings Ltd.
22%
Qualcomm Technologies, Inc.
9%

What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?

50 Forecasters • 197 Forecasts
Started Mar 31, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
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Less than 5%
9%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 10%
69%
Between 10% and 15%, inclusive
20%
More than 15%
2%

How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?

70 Forecasters • 240 Forecasts
Started Mar 31, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than or equal to 5
4%
Between 6 and 7, inclusive
91%
More than or equal to 8
5%

In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?

6%

Chance
57 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

77 Forecasters • 331 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Intel
25%
Samsung
64%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)
10%
Other
0%

Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023?

56 Forecasters • 263 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing Sep 17, 2023 04:00AM UTC
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Intel
35%
Samsung
84%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)
82%

By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?

7%

Chance
84 Forecasters • 394 Forecasts
Started Feb 24, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
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