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Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?

104 Forecasters • 646 Forecasts
Started Mar 24, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, 25+ in Georgia, but not in Moldova
1%
Yes, 25+ in Moldova, but not in Georgia
2%
Yes, 25+ in Georgia and 25+ in Moldova
1%
No, 25+ in neither Georgia nor Moldova
96%

From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?

100 Forecasters • 642 Forecasts
Started Mar 24, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 200
2%
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400
89%
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600
7%
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800
1%
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000
0%
More than or equal to 1000
0%

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?

1%

Chance
159 Forecasters • 931 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Forecast Window 1 month

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

4%

Chance
328 Forecasters • 1362 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
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