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Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?

84 Forecasters • 418 Forecasts
Started Mar 24, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, 25+ in Georgia, but not in Moldova
2%
Yes, 25+ in Moldova, but not in Georgia
8%
Yes, 25+ in Georgia and 25+ in Moldova
2%
No, 25+ in neither Georgia nor Moldova
88%

From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?

87 Forecasters • 372 Forecasts
Started Mar 24, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 200
5%
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400
68%
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600
21%
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800
4%
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000
2%
More than or equal to 1000
1%

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating reported by the Levada Center drop below 50% in the next month?

2%

Chance
126 Forecasters • 578 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Forecast Window 1 month

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?

9%

Chance
200 Forecasters • 714 Forecasts
Started Mar 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
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