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Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?

79 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started Jan 19, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Japan
90%
The Netherlands
90%
South Korea
41%
Any other country not listed
24%

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, how many fatalities from violence against civilians in Mexico will ACLED record?

26 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 6,000
23%
Between 6,000 and 6,999, inclusive
64%
Between 7,000 and 7,999, inclusive
12%
Between 8,000 and 8,999, inclusive
2%
More than or equal to 9,000
0%

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 2,000 or more fatalities due to battles in Democratic Republic of Congo?

77%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 2,000 or more fatalities due to battles in Ethiopia?

22%

Chance
18 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

Will Ariel Henry cease to be either acting president or president of Haiti through an irregular transition on or before 31 December 2023?

41%

Chance
19 Forecasters • 22 Forecasts
Started Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 2,000 or more fatalities due to battles in South Sudan?

20%

Chance
16 Forecasters • 22 Forecasts
Started Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023?

41%

Chance
33 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Jan 12, 2023 08:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 700 or more fatalities from protests, riots, and violence against civilians in Iran?

42%

Chance
20 Forecasters • 28 Forecasts
Started Jan 05, 2023 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 10,000 or more fatalities due to battles in Yemen?

6%

Chance
17 Forecasters • 22 Forecasts
Started Jan 05, 2023 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC

From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 9,000 or more protests and riots in Pakistan?

33%

Chance
20 Forecasters • 33 Forecasts
Started Jan 05, 2023 09:30PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
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