How it works:

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You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on RFI (read the guidance for question submissions).

Step

You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.

Step

Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.

Step

An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.

Pending Published Archived
Pinned Question Votes Question Author Status Submitted
/ Last Edited
Pinned Question
0
According to the data in the article below, if current trends continue, approximately how many millions of deaths/economic cost could there be in total between 2025 and 2035/2050 due to antibiotic resistance?
grainmummy 		Open 09/02/25 08:54pm 09/02/25 08:59pm
Pinned Question
1
Will AI cause a major catastrophic event that kills millions of people within the next ten years?
crimeforecast 		Open 06/10/25 06:44pm 09/02/25 08:32pm
Pinned Question
1
Will the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, a measure of US residential home costs, exceed 350 by July 2026?
joshloughman 		Open 06/07/25 03:55pm 08/26/25 09:36pm
Pinned Question
2
What is the likelihood that either Russia or China will use an anti-satellite weapon to permanently disable (kinetically or non-kinetically) a U.S. or ally satellite on or before January 1, 2027?
Willard 		Open 06/04/25 10:06pm 08/31/25 05:37pm
Pinned Question
0
Will advanced countries institute educational programs to teach universal basic human needs, like Human Ecology, before 2030, to enable people to survive poverty, climate change, global disruption to supply chains, and aging populations?
Pattern 		Open 05/18/25 04:09pm 06/02/25 12:09pm
Pinned Question
-2
Good day, //* NOTE: This is a GPT generated template of GJO question format /// Absolutely, Brian. Here's a refined version of your draft with a few enhancements for clarity, neutrality, and consistency with Good Judgment Open (GJO) standards. I’ve streamlined some legal phrasing, tightened resolution criteria, and ensured neutrality in describing the Trump administration’s position. GJO Forecasting Question Draft Main Forecast Question By June 30, 2025, will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of the position that federal courts lack the authority to issue nationwide injunctions in the consolidated birthright citizenship cases?
username-deleted 4981 		Open 05/15/25 03:31pm 07/30/25 12:29pm
Pinned Question
-5
Will Iran reach an agreement with the US on Saturday?
Hitech-co 		Open 04/12/25 12:05pm 08/14/25 08:09am
Pinned Question
4
Will Eur-Usd reach 1,30 versus Euro by 2026 end?
Dunkerbeck 		Open 03/21/25 05:46pm 06/08/25 06:08pm
Pinned Question
3
Will Democratic values and principles in the United States re-emerge with greater force after Trump's second term?
Santiago-Carrasco-Scherer 		Open 03/20/25 06:44pm 07/03/25 01:11am
Pinned Question
4
Will Russia adhere to the terms of a ceasefire?
butterpickle 		Open 03/17/25 11:28pm 06/19/25 09:38pm
 
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