How it works:

Step

You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on RFI (read the guidance for question submissions).

Step

You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.

Step

Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.

Step

An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.

Pending Published Archived
Pinned Question Votes Question Author Status Submitted
/ Last Edited
Pinned Question
0
Will the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, a measure of U.S. residential home costs, exceed 350 by July 2027?
dante
Open 08/07/25 07:08pm 08/08/25 04:02pm
Pinned Question
0
Will a U.S. or U.S.-ally satellite be permanently disabled by another country or organization before 1 January 2027?
dante
Open 08/07/25 07:08pm 08/11/25 08:42pm
Pinned Question
0
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the EU, UK, and Switzerland be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
dante
Open 07/31/25 07:17pm 08/11/25 08:13pm
Pinned Question
0
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
dante
Open 07/31/25 07:14pm 08/11/25 07:55pm
Pinned Question
0
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
dante
Open 07/31/25 07:13pm 08/11/25 07:54pm
Pinned Question
0
How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?
dante
Open 07/31/25 06:56pm 08/01/25 09:24am
Pinned Question
0
Will AI cause a major catastrophic event that kills millions of people within the next ten years?
crimeforecast
Open 06/10/25 06:44pm 08/07/25 07:41pm
Pinned Question
1
Will the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, a measure of US residential home costs, exceed 350 by July 2026?
joshloughman
Open 06/07/25 03:55pm 06/21/25 05:12am
Pinned Question
1
What is the likelihood that either Russia or China will use an anti-satellite weapon to permanently disable (kinetically or non-kinetically) a U.S. or ally satellite on or before January 1, 2027?
Willard
Open 06/04/25 10:06pm 07/12/25 07:44pm
Pinned Question
0
Will advanced countries institute educational programs to teach universal basic human needs, like Human Ecology, before 2030, to enable people to survive poverty, climate change, global disruption to supply chains, and aging populations?
Pattern
Open 05/18/25 04:09pm 06/02/25 12:09pm
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