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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
119
·
169
7%
Chance
Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?
Closing
Aug 31, 2023 04:00AM UTC
·
111
·
229
8%
Chance
In collaboration with the
UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
69
·
210
In collaboration with the
UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
86
·
254
1%
Chance
Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023?
Closing
Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
·
50
·
212
97%
Chance
How many teams from the United States will compete in the 2023 iGEM Grand Jamboree?
Closing
Oct 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
·
38
·
186
By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
69
·
295
10%
Chance
Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
98
·
560
14%
Chance
In collaboration with the
UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
How many “venture capital members” will be part of BioMADE at the end of June 2023?
Closing
Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
·
60
·
314
Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
87
·
381
70%
Chance
1
2
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