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Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?

84%

Chance
82 Forecasters • 147 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 02, 2022 03:59AM UTC

What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022?

41 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
A coalition government is formed and Yair Lapid becomes Prime Minister
21%
A coalition government is formed and Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister
49%
A coalition government is formed but neither Lapid nor Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister
9%
A coalition government is not formed
21%

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

77 Forecasters • 331 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
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Intel
25%
Samsung
64%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)
10%
Other
0%

In 2022, will the Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Co. list a new lithography machine as an available product on its website?

6%

Chance
57 Forecasters • 239 Forecasts
Started Mar 17, 2022 08:15PM UTC
Closing Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC

Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?

23%

Chance
21 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Aug 04, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2022 04:59AM UTC

How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?

20 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jul 28, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 16, 2022 05:00AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than or equal to 4
34%
Between 5 and 9, inclusive
55%
More than or equal to 10
11%

How many European Union countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 100,000 in 2022?

35 Forecasters • 128 Forecasts
Started Apr 28, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
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Less than 3
1%
Between 3 and 5, inclusive
9%
Between 6 and 7, inclusive
46%
Between 8 and 10, inclusive
42%
More than 10
3%

What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022?

37 Forecasters • 132 Forecasts
Started May 05, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
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Less than 22%
56%
More than or equal to 22% but less than 27%
36%
More than or equal to 27%
8%

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

13%

Chance
44 Forecasters • 129 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
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