In my view this is really a question with a resolution date of 1 October 2024 as congressional recess for US presidential elections will start around there. With EU members of P5+1 occupied with Russia invasion of Ukraine, the initiation of snapback sanctions will likely have to be led by the US which will likely require focus above and beyond US elections. Justification using JCPOA points would be unjustifiable considering JCPOA is not considered in force by either US or Iran.
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Why might you be wrong?
Iran could couple attacks in Straights of Hormuz with other proxy force attacks in a Middle East country to draw attention. This could create conditions for imposition of sanctions.
Why do you think you're right?
With EU members of P5+1 occupied with Russia invasion of Ukraine, the initiation of snapback sanctions will likely have to be led by the US which will likely require focus above and beyond US elections.
Justification using JCPOA points would be unjustifiable considering JCPOA is not considered in force by either US or Iran.
Why might you be wrong?
Iran could couple attacks in Straights of Hormuz with other proxy force attacks in a Middle East country to draw attention. This could create conditions for imposition of sanctions.