AABoyles

Tony Boyles
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Jul 1, 2022 08:00PM How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2022 H1 0.009221
    Jul 1, 2022 01:25PM Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022? -0.003338
    Jun 4, 2022 04:00AM What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022? -0.001097
    Jun 2, 2022 01:40PM What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022? -0.008508
    May 25, 2022 02:09PM Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022? -0.002373
    May 6, 2022 09:00PM What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022? 0.022721
    May 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 3, 2022 and May 3, 2022) -0.001753
    Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? -0.011564
    Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? 0.208084
    Apr 3, 2022 10:00PM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 3, 2022 and Apr 3, 2022) -0.00689
    Mar 16, 2022 04:00PM In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial? 0.142882
    Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between September 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, inclusive? 0.001611
    Feb 24, 2022 03:00PM What percentage of the continental U.S. will be experiencing severe drought or worse on 22 February 2022? -0.041372
    Feb 8, 2022 06:49AM Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022? -0.061214
    Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021? 0.282015
    Feb 1, 2022 05:00AM How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2021 H2 -0.031013
    Jan 31, 2022 03:38PM How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2021 H2 0.002092
    Jan 31, 2022 03:35PM How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years? - 2021 H2 0.094184
    Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.036536
    Jan 31, 2022 03:14PM How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years? - 2021 -0.020874
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