Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(1 year from now)
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2025 03:39PM
(10 days ago)
Jul 17, 2025 03:39PM
(10 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Estonia | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
Latvia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
Lithuania | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(1 year from now)
Apr 1, 2027 04:00AM
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2025 03:39PM
(10 days ago)
Jul 17, 2025 03:39PM
(10 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Moldova | 1% | 8% | -7% | +0% |
Armenia | 2% | 2% | +0% | +0% |
Georgia | 5% | 5% | +0% | +0% |
Kazakhstan | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
Will all NATO members agree to a defense spending target of 5% of GDP by 31 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2025 04:00AM
(4 days from now)
Jul 31, 2025 04:00AM
(4 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 17, 2025 03:40PM
(10 days ago)
Jul 17, 2025 03:40PM
(10 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 4% | 1% | +3% | -4% |
No | 96% | 99% | -3% | +4% |