How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Started Feb 02, 2021 02:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC

Related question. This question was previously issued for the period July 1 to December 31, 2020. You can view it here. The crowd's mean forecast was $73.7 billion, and the correct answer was $59.0 billion. 

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. Crunchbase classifies every company under multiple “category groups.” For this question, companies are classified as “tech” if software, hardware, internet services, or information technology are among their category groups. These categories are overlapping. A company is "private" if it's not publicly traded. This question resolves on January 30, 2022, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days. 

The chart below does not include an anomalous $100 billion raised by Broadcom Limited in February 2018. 

The graph is linked directly to data from the vendor. Values on the graph can change if the vendor updates the data in ways that impact past data points. The data underlying the graph on the date the question was published is here. If the data changes to a non-trivial extent, we will notify forecasters and add a new snapshot of the data to the spreadsheet to make it easier to view the changes. 

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

For more on this metric, see the accompanying Foretell metric analysis: "Are Established Tech Companies Crowding Out Startups?"

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Resolution Notes

The answer is $137.6 billion

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $40 billion 6%
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive 22%
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion 41%
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion 23%
More than $100 billion 8%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 71
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 178
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Consensus Trend

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