What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Started Jun 06, 2020 12:26AM UTC
Closed Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Seasons

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Nexis Metabase, a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. An article is on the topic of AI if it mentions the term "artificial intelligence"; and it's on the topic of privacy and security if it mentions the terms "privacy" and "security." 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Resolution Notes

The actual value was 1.3%. For the data, see https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NGdFBVc4nnIzwwVKbwScyIGYhzCv_zXKqoVkCzU7MX0/edit#gid=0

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 0.5% 13%
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive 49%
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% 23%
More than 1.5% 15%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions older than 6 months: 58
Number of Forecasts 63
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.261
2.
-0.204
3.
-0.178
4.
-0.169
5.
-0.15

Consensus Trend

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