Started Jul 15, 2020 12:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC

How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Context. Facial recognition is a core part of surveillance technologies. An increase in market interest for surveillance technologies will likely coincide with an increase in funding for companies that focus on facial recognition.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. For this question, a company is a "facial recognition" company if Crunchbase places it in that industry. For a list of Crunchbase facial recognition companies, see here. This question resolves on January 30, 2021, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

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Question clarification
Issued on 07/30/20 07:53pm
This question is not limited to any specific geographic region.
Issued on 10/09/20 08:18pm
IPOs are not included as a source of new funding for this question.
Resolution Notes

The answer is $129 million.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $200 million 6%
More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million 19%
Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive 24%
More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion 21%
More than $1.1 billion 30%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 59
Number of Forecasts 98
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.75
2.
-0.712
3.
-0.697
4.
-0.62
5.
-0.516

Consensus Trend

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