Get to know INFER

This is your hub for the latest events and resources from the program, including research on the science and practice behind crowdsourced forecasting.

Program news & events 


  • February 2024 INFER now led by the nonprofit RAND
  • January 2024 Congratulations to INFER's Best of 2023
  • December 2023 Looking back: How INFER navigated global uncertainty in 2023
  • September 2023 Google experts join INFER forecasting meetup to explore the future of AI
  • July 2023 INFER crowd and expert forecasts shape a talk for government officials on how AI will impact disinformation campaigns
  • May 2023 Team Leads cross the finish line on half-year forecasting tournament with teammates
  • May 2023 Introducing the INFER mobile app
  • February 2023 INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration with UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
  • January 2023 Congratulations to INFER’s Best of 2022

Blog (The Pub)

  • Catch our latest blog posts here.  

Report and Alert Archive

  • Read all of our reports created for government stakeholders here.  

Discussion Forum

  • Start or contribute to a discussion thread with other users about our forecasting topics here.  

INFER Featured In

Webinar Events

Getting started with forecasting?

Tips for making your first forecast

learn more

Quick explainer video on INFER

watch now

Learn about crowdsourced forecasting

News Articles

Research & Whitepapers


  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Crown. (2015)
  • Thinking Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. (2011)
  • The Wisdom of Crowds. Anchor. (2005)
  • Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely. Harper Business. (2020)
  • Thinking in Bets. Portfolio. (2018)
  • The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds. W. W. Norton & Company. (2016)
  • How Not to Be Wrong. Penguin Books. (2014)


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