Get to know INFER

This is your hub for the latest events and resources from the
program, including research on the science and practice behind crowdsourced forecasting.

Program news & events 

Webinar Events 

Newsletter (Pub Post)

  • December 2022 It's a wrap on season one
  • November 2022 IBM, Google, and U.S. patents help signal trends in quantum computing
  • October 2022 Adoption of alternative fuels, quarterly reports, & future headlines
  • September 2022 Synthetic Biology at the Pump, Upcoming Event, Training & More
  • August 2022 Forecast the future of Synthetic Biology, watch the Fireside Chat, Pro tips, and more
  • July 2022 The next generation of AI, ⚡FlashCast Thursday⚡, and more news
  • June 2022 Who's leading the AI race, and what's coming up on INFER?
  • May 2022 Which country will dominate AI in the next 10 years?
  • April 2022 Fireside Chat: Reasserting U.S. leadership in microelectronics, plus forecaster spotlights
  • March 2022 Amazing chip race, China's exposure, plus $12K in rewards starts now!
  • February 2022 Team challenge and new microelectronics questions
  • January 2022 INFER Launch Announcement

Blog (The Pub)

  • Catch our latest blog posts here.  

INFER Featured In

What is INFER?

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Learn about crowdsourced forecasting

News Articles

Research & Whitepapers


  • Tetlock, P. & Gardner, D. (2015). Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Crown.
  • Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux.
  • Surowiecki, J. (2005). The Wisdom of Crowds. Anchor.
  • Moore, D. (2020). Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely. Harper Business.
  • Duke, A. (2018). Thinking in Bets. Portfolio.
  • Lewis, M. (2016). The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds. W. W. Norton & Company.
  • Ellenberg, J. (2014). How Not to Be Wrong. Penguin Books.


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