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U.S. Competitiveness in Artificial Intelligence

Closing

Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC (1 year)

AI is a critical disruptor that is transforming governments, economies, and society. Will the U.S. advantage in AI grow or diminish? Learn more...

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Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC · 150 · 585

4%

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Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?

Closing Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 67 · 263

2%

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Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

Closing Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 126 · 546

0%

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For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?

Closing Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC · 34 · 145

By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 77 · 454

4%

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Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?

Closing Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC · 98 · 659

44%

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