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U.S. Competitiveness in Artificial Intelligence
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 year)
AI is a critical disruptor that is transforming governments, economies, and society. Will the U.S. advantage in AI grow or diminish?
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Semiconductor Supply... (3)
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Mission: AI Advancement (1)
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Crowd Forecast
Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
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150
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585
4%
Chance
Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?
Closing
Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC
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67
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263
2%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closing
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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126
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546
0%
Chance
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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34
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145
By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
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77
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454
4%
Chance
Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?
Closing
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
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98
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659
44%
Chance
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