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Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech

Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC (1 year)
Which countries will take the lead in research, software development, and growing and retaining the human capital they need to compete effectively in AI? Learn more.

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How many AI related patents will be published in China in 2022?

38 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Jun 09, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1,400
24%
More than or equal to 1,400 but less than 1,900
37%
More than or equal to 1,900 but less than 2,400
26%
More than or equal to 2,400
13%

How many AI related patents will be published in the U.S. in 2022?

31 Forecasters • 56 Forecasts
Started Jun 09, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 12,000
11%
More than or equal to 12,000 but less than 15,000
31%
More than or equal to 15,000 but less than 18,000
43%
More than or equal to 18,000
15%

How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022?

29 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Jun 09, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2,500
1%
More than or equal to 2,500 but less than 3,000
16%
More than or equal to 3,000
83%

What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?

29 Forecasters • 61 Forecasts
Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 10
13%
More than or equal to 10 but less than 15
37%
More than or equal to 15 but less than 20
42%
More than or equal to 20
8%

Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?

36 Forecasters • 74 Forecasts
Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
China
7%
EU
48%
United States
39%
India
5%
Other
1%

How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?

31 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
1
4%
2
19%
3
53%
4 or lower
24%

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

18%

Chance
37 Forecasters • 85 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC

In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most AI research publications ranked in the top 10%?

89%

Chance
37 Forecasters • 82 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC

Which country or union will publish the second most AI related patents in 2022?

36 Forecasters • 77 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
United States
4%
EU
66%
Japan
19%
Korea
6%
China
5%
None of the above
0%

What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022?

34 Forecasters • 101 Forecasts
Started May 05, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 22%
56%
More than or equal to 22% but less than 27%
35%
More than or equal to 27%
9%
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