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Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech

Closing
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC (1 year)
Which countries will take the lead in research, software development, and growing and retaining the human capital they need to compete effectively in AI? Learn more.

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What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?

35 Forecasters • 81 Forecasts
Started Sep 07, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 5%
5%
More than or equal to 5% but less than 7%
69%
More than or equal to 7%
26%

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the European Union and United Kingdom in 2022?

24 Forecasters • 52 Forecasts
Started Sep 07, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 7%
40%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 10%
54%
More than or equal to 10%
6%

In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most "high impact" AI research publications?

66%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Sep 07, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC

What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the United States in 2022?

24 Forecasters • 55 Forecasts
Started Sep 07, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 40%
56%
More than or equal to 40% but less than 50%
38%
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60%
5%
More than or equal to 60%
1%

Which country will have published the second most "high impact" journal articles on artificial intelligence in 2022?

29 Forecasters • 64 Forecasts
Started Sep 07, 2022 07:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
China
3%
EU
73%
United States
21%
India
2%
None of the above
0%

How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022?

41 Forecasters • 162 Forecasts
Started Jun 09, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 2,500
2%
More than or equal to 2,500 but less than 3,000
18%
More than or equal to 3,000
80%

What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?

36 Forecasters • 138 Forecasts
Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 10
17%
More than or equal to 10 but less than 15
40%
More than or equal to 15 but less than 20
36%
More than or equal to 20
7%

Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?

45 Forecasters • 170 Forecasts
Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
China
4%
EU
53%
United States
35%
India
8%
Other
1%

How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?

54 Forecasters • 198 Forecasts
Started May 26, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
1
3%
2
22%
3
54%
4 or lower
21%

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

5%

Chance
56 Forecasters • 218 Forecasts
Started May 12, 2022 04:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
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