An air mission for Iran is out unless it is a suicide mission. They don't have the range or aerial refuelling. Both Israel and the US could and would shoot down any Iranian plane that decides to base out of Syria and attack Israel. The US is currently flying the RC 135 Rivet Joint surveillance plane off the coast of Israel and has multiple MQ-9 Reapers flying over Gaza. Both Israel and the US have numerous F35's in the region. Missiles are another story. Iran can launch missiles that would reach Israel. Most but not all are likely to be intercepted, but why put a return address on a strike when proxies can be used more easily?
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Why might you be wrong?
If Israel or the US directly strikes Iranian territory or kills a large number if IRGC forces, Iran may fell compelled to
Why do you think you're right?
An air mission for Iran is out unless it is a suicide mission. They don't have the range or aerial refuelling. Both Israel and the US could and would shoot down any Iranian plane that decides to base out of Syria and attack Israel. The US is currently flying the RC 135 Rivet Joint surveillance plane off the coast of Israel and has multiple MQ-9 Reapers flying over Gaza. Both Israel and the US have numerous F35's in the region. Missiles are another story. Iran can launch missiles that would reach Israel. Most but not all are likely to be intercepted, but why put a return address on a strike when proxies can be used more easily?
Why might you be wrong?
If Israel or the US directly strikes Iranian territory or kills a large number if IRGC forces, Iran may fell compelled to