ACordetti

Anthony Cordetti
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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    May 20, 2023 08:00PM Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 20, 2023 and May 20, 2023) 0.01965
    May 15, 2023 05:45PM Will Thailand hold a general election on or before 14 May 2023? -0.000135
    May 10, 2023 04:00PM What will Ginkgo Bioworks foundry revenue be in the first quarter of 2023? -0.066371
    Apr 20, 2023 03:52PM Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022? 0.181178
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022? 0.285743
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022? -0.007982
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023? -0.004477
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia? 0.014118
    Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023? 0.079886
    Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023? -0.00285
    Apr 1, 2023 04:01AM Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession? 0.005101
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023? -0.000069
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China? -0.022173
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023) 0.000112
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023? 0.000267
    Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023? -0.162989
    Mar 15, 2023 01:24PM What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023? - Apr 2023 0.006682
    Mar 1, 2023 05:01AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 17, 2022 and Sep 1, 2022) 0.000986
    Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? 0.003196
    Feb 2, 2023 05:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022) 0.001158
     
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