ACordetti

Anthony Cordetti
Forecasted Questions

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 05:01PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 4%
No 90% 96%

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 05:01PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Jan 31, 2024 to Jul 31, 2024 Apr 30, 2024 0%

Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 05:04PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 35% 55%
No 65% 45%

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 05:07PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 0%
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