ACordetti

Anthony Cordetti
Forecasted Questions

[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 08, 2021 11:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 30% 35%

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2021 03:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% 5% 7%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive 35% 23%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% 30% 33%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% 20% 21%
More than 8% 10% 16%

What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 14, 2021 12:45AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than -0.25 20% 14%
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive 35% 31%
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 30% 33%
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 10% 17%
More than 0.5 5% 4%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2021 12:15AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2022 01:29AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Apple 35% 48%
Microsoft 25% 22%
Alphabet (Google) 15% 13%
Amazon 13% 10%
Tesla 7% 3%
Meta (Facebook) 5% 1%
Other 0% 2%

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 06, 2022 06:13PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 10, 2022 11:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 25, 2022 07:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 14% 5% 3%
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive 7% 12%
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% 16% 31%
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% 35% 40%
More than 20% 37% 14%

How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 12:58AM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 12:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username