henrytolchard

Henry Tolchard
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Forecasted Questions

    Will the EU import at least 15 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia in any quarter of 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    1 Forecast
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (2 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    May 16, 2025 05:37PM
    (6 months ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 4% 1%
    No 96% 99%

    If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?

    Forecast Count:
    3 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (2 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Jun 3, 2025 05:05PM
    (5 months ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Less than 30 days 50% 67%
    30 days 2% 6%
    31-60 days 17% 6%
    61-90 days 6% 5%
    91 days or more 25% 17%

    What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?

    Forecast Count:
    2 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (2 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Jun 3, 2025 05:07PM
    (5 months ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Less than 62% 0% 0%
    More than or equal to 62% but less than 66% 0% 0%
    More than or equal to 66% but less than 70% 48% 6%
    More than or equal to 70% but less than 74% 52% 94%
    More than or equal to 74% 0% 0%
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