Forecasted Questions
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 09, 2021 05:48PM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 09, 2021 05:48PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than -0.25 | 0% | 14% | -14% | -4% |
| Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 80% | 31% | +49% | -1% |
| More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 20% | 33% | -13% | +2% |
| More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 0% | 17% | -17% | +3% |
| More than 0.5 | 0% | 4% | -4% | +0% |
How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2021 02:49PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 31, 2021 02:49PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2022 12:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 11, 2022 12:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2021 05:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 31, 2021 05:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)